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This comprehensive report provides a deep dive into Stack Capital Group Inc. (STCK), analyzing its business, financials, and future prospects as of November 14, 2025. By benchmarking STCK against peers like Alaris Equity Partners and applying the investment wisdom of Buffett and Munger, we offer a clear verdict on its potential.

Stack Capital Group Inc. (STCK)

Negative. Stack Capital Group offers investors access to private growth companies. It boasts a strong, debt-free balance sheet with a large cash reserve. However, the company consistently loses money from its core operations. Its investment strategy is unproven, and performance has been highly volatile. The stock trades below its asset value, but this reflects significant risks. High risk — investors should wait for a proven track record before considering.

CAN: TSX

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Summary Analysis

Business & Moat Analysis

1/5

Stack Capital Group Inc. (STCK) operates as an investment holding company, providing public market investors with access to a portfolio of investments in late-stage private and early-stage public growth companies. Essentially, it functions like a publicly-traded venture capital or growth equity fund. Its core business is to identify promising private businesses, deploy capital into them, and generate returns for shareholders through the appreciation of these investments, eventually realized through events like an IPO or acquisition. Revenue is primarily derived from changes in the Net Asset Value (NAV) of its portfolio, including any dividend or interest income from its holdings, making its income stream inherently lumpy and unpredictable.

The company's cost structure is driven by its external management agreement, which includes a base management fee calculated on assets and a potential performance fee based on returns. Other significant costs include professional fees, administrative expenses, and transaction costs related to its investments. In the specialty capital value chain, Stack Capital is a small capital provider competing against a vast and sophisticated landscape of private equity firms, venture capitalists, and larger specialty finance companies like Alaris Equity Partners. Its small size places it at a disadvantage in sourcing the most competitive deals and conducting extensive due diligence compared to its larger peers.

From a competitive standpoint, Stack Capital has no discernible economic moat. Its brand is nascent and lacks the recognition of established players like Onex or Brookfield, which have decades-long track records. While the companies it invests in face high switching costs for capital, Stack's own investors can exit easily, and the company has no pricing power. It severely lacks economies of scale; its small asset base makes its operating expense ratio high and limits its ability to diversify. Furthermore, it has yet to build the powerful network effects that generate proprietary deal flow for industry leaders. Its only structural advantage is its permanent capital base, which allows for long-term investing without the pressure of investor redemptions.

Overall, Stack Capital's business model is fragile and high-risk. Its primary strength—the permanent capital structure—is a necessary but insufficient condition for success. Its key vulnerabilities are an extreme lack of diversification, a dependency on the success of a few key investments, and a limited operating history that has yet to prove its underwriting capabilities. The company's competitive edge is non-existent at this stage, making its business model appear far less resilient and durable compared to nearly all of its established competitors.

Financial Statement Analysis

1/5

A detailed look at Stack Capital's financial statements reveals a company with fortress-like liquidity but questionable operational stability. The balance sheet is the clear highlight, featuring virtually no debt and a substantial cash and short-term investments balance that has grown to $192.43 million as of the latest quarter. This provides significant resilience and flexibility. With total liabilities at just $4.84 million, the company's leverage risk is negligible, and its current ratio of 39.77 is exceptionally high, indicating it can easily meet short-term obligations.

However, the income statement and cash flow statement paint a much riskier picture. Revenue and profitability are extremely erratic. For instance, Q2 2025 saw revenue of $35.51 million and operating income of $30.12 million, while the subsequent Q3 2025 reported just $0.32 million in revenue and an operating loss of -$0.78 million. This volatility suggests earnings are heavily dependent on unpredictable investment gains rather than stable, recurring fee streams. This inconsistency makes it difficult for investors to rely on past performance as an indicator of future results.

The most significant red flag is the persistent negative cash flow from operations. The company reported negative operating cash flows of -$7.26 million in Q3 2025, -$4.56 million in Q2 2025, and -$26.32 million for the full year 2024. A business that does not generate cash from its core activities is fundamentally unsustainable in the long run without relying on financing or asset sales. While the current cash pile is large, it appears to have been raised through financing activities ($32.81 million in Q3) rather than earned through operations. This creates a disconnect between reported profits and actual cash generation, a critical risk for investors to consider.

Past Performance

0/5

An analysis of Stack Capital's performance over the fiscal years 2021-2024 reveals a company in its nascent, high-risk phase with a volatile and unproven track record. This period is characterized by erratic financial results, driven primarily by fluctuations in the value of its investment portfolio rather than stable, recurring income. The company's short history makes it difficult to establish any meaningful long-term trends, and its performance contrasts sharply with the stability of established competitors like Alaris Equity Partners or Onex Corporation.

Historically, revenue and earnings have been extremely unpredictable. For example, revenue swung from $1.5 million in FY2021 to a loss of -$1.1 million in FY2022, before jumping to $11.6 million in FY2024. This volatility directly impacted profitability, with return on equity (ROE) being negative in FY2022 (-0.83%) and FY2023 (-4.24%) before a strong positive result in FY2024 (14.07%). This single positive year is insufficient to demonstrate durable profitability. The lack of a consistent performance record makes it challenging for investors to gauge the company's underwriting skill or operational effectiveness.

A critical weakness in Stack Capital's historical performance is its cash flow generation. The company has recorded negative operating cash flow in every year of the analysis period, including -$35.5 million in FY2021 and -$26.3 million in FY2024. This indicates that the core business is not self-sustaining and relies on its cash reserves and financing activities to operate. From a shareholder return perspective, the company has paid no dividends and has increased its share count since its IPO, resulting in dilution for early investors. While minor share repurchases occurred, they were not significant enough to offset the overall increase in shares outstanding.

In conclusion, Stack Capital's historical record does not support confidence in its execution or resilience. The performance has been defined by volatility, losses, and a consistent inability to generate positive cash flow from operations. When benchmarked against any established peer in the specialty capital space, its track record is significantly weaker, highlighting the speculative nature of the investment.

Future Growth

0/5

The following analysis of Stack Capital's growth prospects uses an independent model to project performance through fiscal year 2035, as analyst consensus and management guidance are not publicly available. This model focuses on Net Asset Value (NAV) per share growth, the primary metric for a specialty capital provider like STCK. All forward-looking statements are based on this independent model unless otherwise specified. For example, projected growth will be stated as NAV per share CAGR 2024–2028: +5% (Independent model). The lack of external forecasts underscores the speculative nature of this micro-cap stock.

Growth for a specialty capital provider like Stack Capital is driven by two main factors: deploying available capital into promising private companies and successfully exiting those investments at a higher valuation. Key drivers include sourcing proprietary deals, underwriting acumen to select winners, and market conditions that allow for profitable exits. Unlike larger peers such as Ares Capital (ARCC), which generates predictable interest income, STCK's returns are lumpy and dependent on capital appreciation. This makes its growth path inherently less predictable and more volatile. The primary challenge for STCK is demonstrating that its investment strategy can generate returns that justify the risks of its concentrated, illiquid portfolio.

Compared to its peers, Stack Capital is poorly positioned for growth. It lacks the scale, brand recognition, and deal-sourcing platforms of competitors like Alaris Equity Partners or global giants like Brookfield and KKR. While STCK's small size means a single successful investment can significantly impact its NAV, it also presents an existential risk if a key investment fails. The company's stock trades at a persistent and deep discount to its reported NAV (>25%), indicating strong market skepticism about its ability to create value. The biggest risk is execution—the unproven ability of management to select, manage, and exit investments profitably in a competitive private market.

Over the next 1 and 3 years, growth is entirely dependent on capital deployment and portfolio valuation. In a normal case scenario, the model assumes STCK deploys its remaining capital, leading to NAV per share growth next 12 months: +4% (Independent model) and NAV per share CAGR 2024–2027: +5% (Independent model). A bull case, assuming a successful partial exit of a portfolio company, could see NAV growth of +15% in the next year. Conversely, a bear case involving a write-down of a key asset could lead to NAV growth of -10%. The most sensitive variable is the valuation multiple of its top portfolio holdings. A 10% change in the valuation of its largest investment could shift the company's entire NAV by ~3-4%. Assumptions for the normal case include: 1) annual capital deployment of $10-15M, 2) portfolio valuation multiples remain stable with public market comparables, and 3) no significant exits or capital raises.

Looking out 5 and 10 years, the scenarios diverge significantly. The long-term viability of STCK's model is uncertain. A normal case assumes the company successfully recycles capital from one or two exits into new investments, achieving a NAV per share CAGR 2024–2029 (5-year): +6% (Independent model) and NAV per share CAGR 2024–2034 (10-year): +7% (Independent model). A bull case, where STCK establishes a track record and closes its NAV discount, could see a NAV per share CAGR of +12% over ten years. The bear case is that the company fails to generate meaningful exits, its value stagnates, and it potentially liquidates or is acquired at a discount, resulting in a NAV per share CAGR of 0% or less. The key long-duration sensitivity is the realization multiple on invested capital; achieving a 2.0x multiple on exits versus a 1.5x multiple would be the difference between a successful model and a failure. Overall, the long-term growth prospects are weak due to the immense competition and execution hurdles.

Fair Value

2/5

Based on the closing price of $12.46 on November 14, 2025, a triangulated valuation analysis suggests that Stack Capital Group Inc. (STCK) is likely undervalued. The analysis weighs the asset-based value most heavily, given the company's business model as a specialty capital provider, which makes its book value a critical indicator of intrinsic worth. This is the most suitable method for a specialty capital provider, as the company's value is closely tied to the underlying assets it holds. As of the third quarter of 2025, STCK reported a tangible book value per share of $14.18. With the stock trading at $12.46, this represents a price-to-book ratio of 0.88. This discount suggests that investors can purchase the company's assets for less than their stated value on the balance sheet. Many value investors consider a P/B ratio under 1.0 to be a strong indicator of a potentially undervalued company. The trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio is exceptionally low at 3.54. This is significantly below the average for the Canadian Capital Markets industry (around 9.7x) and the broader Canadian market. However, this is contrasted sharply by a high forward P/E of 65.58, indicating that analysts expect a substantial drop in future earnings. Given this uncertainty in earnings, relying solely on the P/E multiple is less reliable. Combining the approaches, the asset-based valuation provides the most conservative and reliable floor for the stock's value. Weighting the asset/NAV method most heavily, while considering the positive analyst sentiment with an average target around $15.75, a fair value range of $14.18 - $15.75 seems reasonable. This range indicates a meaningful upside from the current price, confirming the view that the stock is currently undervalued.

Future Risks

  • Stack Capital’s future performance is heavily tied to the volatile private technology market, which faces significant headwinds. The company's main risks are the potential for further valuation markdowns in its private holdings if public tech markets struggle. Furthermore, its ability to generate profits depends on a healthy market for IPOs and acquisitions, which remains uncertain. Investors should closely monitor the health of the tech IPO market and the valuations of late-stage growth companies, as these factors will directly impact Stack's share price and net asset value.

Wisdom of Top Value Investors

Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett would view Stack Capital Group as an investment that falls far outside his circle of competence and fails nearly all of his key principles. His thesis for asset management favors businesses with durable moats, immense scale, and predictable, recurring fee streams, akin to a toll bridge. STCK, as a small, recently-formed company with a concentrated portfolio of unproven private businesses, lacks any discernible moat, has no long-term track record of profitability, and generates lumpy, unpredictable investment income rather than steady fees. While the stock trades at a significant discount to its stated Net Asset Value (NAV) of over 25%, Buffett would not see this as a margin of safety; instead, he would be highly skeptical of the NAV itself, viewing the market's discount as a clear warning of high risk and uncertainty. The company's cash use is focused on reinvestment to grow its portfolio, which is logical for a young firm but entirely speculative without a history of generating high returns on that capital. If forced to invest in the specialty capital sector, Buffett would choose industry titans like Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for its unparalleled scale in real assets and predictable fees, Ares Capital (ARCC) for its leadership in the more understandable business of credit with a ~9-10% covered dividend, or KKR for its global brand and diversified platform. For retail investors, the takeaway is that STCK is a speculative venture, not a Buffett-style investment in a wonderful business at a fair price. A decision change would require STCK to build a multi-decade track record of profitable underwriting and establish a clear, durable competitive advantage, a process that would take many years.

Charlie Munger

Charlie Munger would view Stack Capital Group with extreme skepticism in 2025, seeing it as an unproven speculation rather than an investment in a great business. His investment thesis in specialty finance demands a long, successful track record of intelligent capital allocation, a strong brand that attracts proprietary deals, and aligned incentives, none of which STCK possesses given its short history since its 2021 founding. The company's small scale, concentrated portfolio, and a persistent stock price discount to Net Asset Value (NAV) of over 25% would be glaring red flags, signaling a profound lack of market confidence in either its assets or management's ability to create value. Munger avoids 'stupidity,' and betting on a new venture with such high execution risk and negative market sentiment would fall into that category. For retail investors, the takeaway is that while the discount to NAV seems tempting, it reflects immense uncertainty that a prudent, long-term investor like Munger would refuse to underwrite. If forced to choose top-tier alternatives, Munger would point to proven compounders like Brookfield Asset Management (BAM), KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR), or Onex (ONEX), whose decades-long track records of growing book value per share at 10%+ annually demonstrate true, durable value creation. A decade of consistent NAV per share growth and the elimination of the trading discount would be required before Munger would even begin to reconsider STCK.

Bill Ackman

Bill Ackman would likely view Stack Capital Group as an uninvestable micro-cap, falling far short of his preference for simple, predictable, and dominant businesses. His thesis for asset management targets global, scalable platforms like KKR or Brookfield, which generate high-margin, recurring fee streams and possess immense pricing power due to their brand and scale. STCK, with its nascent, lumpy revenue and unproven track record since its 2021 IPO, represents the opposite of this ideal. While the persistent, deep discount to Net Asset Value (NAV) of over 25% might initially attract an activist's attention, the company's tiny ~CAD $50 million market capitalization makes it too small to be a meaningful position for a large fund like Pershing Square. The core risks—a highly concentrated portfolio and significant execution uncertainty—outweigh the speculative appeal of closing the valuation gap. Therefore, Ackman would almost certainly avoid the stock, viewing it as a potential value trap rather than a compelling opportunity. If forced to choose top-tier specialty capital providers, Ackman would select Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for its predictable fee-related earnings from ~USD $457 billion in capital, KKR for its global brand and ~$580 billion AUM, and Onex (ONEX) for its long track record and tangible value proposition trading at a discount of around ~0.8x its book value. Ackman would only consider STCK if management announced a clear, aggressive plan to close the NAV discount, such as a significant tender offer or a strategic sale of the company.

Competition

Stack Capital Group Inc. presents a unique investment proposition within the Canadian financial landscape. Its core mission is to democratize private equity, offering public market investors access to a portfolio of private companies and special situations typically reserved for institutional or high-net-worth individuals. The company operates as a permanent capital vehicle, meaning that unlike traditional private equity funds that have a limited lifespan and must sell investments within a set timeframe, Stack can hold its investments indefinitely. This 'evergreen' structure allows for a long-term investment horizon, potentially enabling portfolio companies to grow to their full potential without the pressure of a forced exit.

The primary appeal of this model is the potential for superior, non-correlated returns from private markets. However, this access comes with inherent challenges. The underlying assets are illiquid, making their valuation more complex and subjective than publicly traded securities. This often leads to publicly-listed investment corporations like Stack trading at a persistent discount to their reported Net Asset Value (NAV), which represents the underlying worth of their investments. This discount can be a source of frustration for investors, as the stock price may not fully reflect the portfolio's intrinsic value.

As a relatively new and small entity, Stack Capital carries a different risk-return profile than its larger, more established peers. Its small asset base means that a few successful investments can have a significant positive impact on its NAV per share, offering substantial upside potential. Conversely, a few poor investments could severely impair capital. Therefore, the company's success is heavily reliant on the skill of its management team in sourcing, vetting, and managing a concentrated portfolio of private investments. Its competitive position is that of a niche upstart, not directly competing with behemoths for deals but rather carving out a space for smaller, unique opportunities.

Ultimately, an investment in Stack is a bet on its management team and its specific investment strategy. It competes for investor capital against a wide array of alternative investment vehicles, from more established Canadian players like Alaris Equity Partners to global private equity giants and US-based Business Development Companies (BDCs). While it offers a differentiated approach, investors must weigh its high-growth potential against the risks associated with its small scale, limited track record, and the structural challenges of a listed private equity vehicle.

  • Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust

    AD.UN • TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE

    Alaris Equity Partners is a more mature and established peer that provides specialty capital to private businesses, making it a very direct and relevant comparison for Stack Capital. While STCK is in its early stages of building a diversified portfolio, Alaris has a long-standing track record, a significantly larger and more seasoned portfolio of partner companies, and a history of providing substantial cash distributions to its unitholders. The core difference lies in their life cycle stage: Alaris is a proven operator generating steady cash flow, whereas STCK is a growth-oriented vehicle focused on capital appreciation by increasing its Net Asset Value (NAV).

    In a head-to-head comparison of business and moat, Alaris holds a significant advantage. Its brand is well-established in the North American private capital market, built over 15+ years, while STCK's brand is still in its infancy since its 2021 founding. For the underlying portfolio companies, switching costs for capital are high for both, creating a sticky customer base. However, Alaris's scale is a major differentiator, with a market capitalization of around CAD $600 million versus STCK's ~CAD $50 million, allowing it to pursue larger, more established partners. This scale also contributes to stronger network effects for sourcing proprietary deals. Regulatory barriers in asset management are comparable for both licensed entities. Winner: Alaris Equity Partners, due to its superior scale, established brand, and proven deal-sourcing network.

    Financially, Alaris is far more developed and predictable. Alaris generates substantial and relatively stable revenue growth from its large base of partners (~$170 million TTM), whereas STCK's revenue is nascent and lumpy, dependent on the performance of a few new investments. Alaris consistently produces high operating margins (~60%+), a testament to its efficient model, while STCK's margin structure is not yet stabilized. Alaris's Return on Equity (ROE) is established in the 10-15% range, whereas STCK's is not yet meaningful. In terms of leverage, Alaris maintains a moderate net debt/EBITDA ratio of ~2.5x, while STCK has used debt more sparingly as it builds its portfolio. Alaris's model is built on strong free cash flow generation to fund its distributions, a key advantage. Winner: Alaris Equity Partners, for its proven profitability, robust cash flow, and financial stability.

    Analyzing past performance underscores the difference in maturity. Alaris has a long history, allowing for an analysis of 1/3/5y revenue and earnings CAGR, which has been solid though cyclical. In contrast, STCK's short history since its 2021 IPO prevents any meaningful long-term performance comparison. In terms of Total Shareholder Return (TSR), Alaris has delivered strong returns in some periods but has also experienced significant drawdowns, reflecting the risks in its portfolio. STCK's TSR has been negative since its debut, caught in a challenging market for new growth-oriented companies. From a risk perspective, both are exposed to the credit and operational risks of small to medium-sized private businesses, but Alaris's longer track record provides more data to assess its underwriting and risk management capabilities. Winner: Alaris Equity Partners, simply for having a long-term, verifiable performance history.

    Looking at future growth, the picture is more nuanced. STCK's primary growth driver is the deployment of its capital into new investments, and due to its small size, each new successful deal can move the needle significantly on NAV growth. Alaris's growth comes from sourcing new partners and the organic growth of its existing ones. In terms of TAM/demand signals, the demand for non-dilutive private capital is strong for both. However, STCK has an edge in percentage growth potential, while Alaris has the edge in absolute dollar growth and a more proven deal pipeline. Given the higher execution risk for STCK, the outlooks are different: STCK offers higher-risk, higher-potential-reward growth. We can call this Even, as they cater to different growth expectations. Overall Growth outlook winner: Even, with STCK having higher beta growth potential and Alaris offering more predictable, incremental growth.

    From a valuation perspective, both companies often trade at a discount to their intrinsic value. STCK consistently trades at a very wide NAV premium/discount, often a >25% discount to its reported NAV per share, reflecting investor skepticism about its unproven portfolio and future execution. Alaris also trades at a discount, but its substantial dividend yield of ~7-8% provides strong valuation support and a tangible return to investors. Alaris's P/E ratio is typically in the 8-10x range, which is reasonable for its cash flow profile. The quality vs. price trade-off is stark: STCK is optically cheaper relative to its stated NAV, but this discount comes with immense risk. Alaris offers a less significant discount but a much higher quality, proven business model. Winner: Alaris Equity Partners, as its high, covered dividend yield makes it a better value on a risk-adjusted basis today.

    Winner: Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust over Stack Capital Group Inc. The verdict is clear, as Alaris represents a more mature, de-risked, and income-oriented investment that has successfully executed the specialty capital model for over a decade. Its key strengths are its diversified portfolio of cash-flowing assets, a proven management team with a long track record, and a substantial distribution yield (~7-8%) that provides investors with a consistent return. Stack Capital's primary weakness is its nascent stage; it has a limited operating history, a concentrated portfolio, and significant execution risk, causing its stock to trade at a punishing discount to NAV. While STCK offers the allure of high growth from a small base, Alaris provides a more tangible and reliable value proposition for investors seeking exposure to private market income streams.

  • Onex Corporation

    ONEX • TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE

    Onex Corporation is a Canadian private equity giant, representing a vastly different scale and strategy compared to Stack Capital. While both invest in private companies, Onex operates on a global scale with multiple funds and strategies, including large-scale buyouts, credit, and wealth management, managing tens of billions of dollars. STCK is a small, single permanent capital vehicle focused on providing retail investors access to a curated selection of growth-oriented private investments. The comparison highlights the difference between a globally diversified alternative asset manager and a niche, emerging investment company.

    Analyzing their business and moat, Onex is in a different league. Its brand is one of the most respected in the global private equity industry, built over 40 years. STCK is a newcomer with minimal brand recognition outside its niche. Switching costs are not highly relevant for public investors, but for deal sourcing, Onex's reputation is a massive advantage. The scale difference is immense: Onex's market cap is over CAD $7 billion with ~$51 billion in assets under management (AUM), versus STCK's ~CAD $50 million market cap. This scale provides Onex with unparalleled access to large, complex deals and significant fee-related earnings. Onex benefits from powerful network effects, with a global network of executives and partners that generates proprietary deal flow, an advantage STCK is just beginning to build. Winner: Onex Corporation, by an overwhelming margin across all moat components.

    From a financial statement perspective, Onex's results are more complex but also more robust. Onex's revenue is multifaceted, consisting of management fees, performance fees (carried interest), and returns on its own invested capital, making it much larger and more diversified than STCK's investment income. Onex has a long history of profitability and strong cash generation from its asset management business, even before considering investment gains. STCK is not yet consistently profitable as it scales. Onex's balance sheet is formidable, with significant long-term capital and access to deep credit markets, giving it immense resilience. In contrast, STCK's balance sheet is small and unproven through a full economic cycle. Winner: Onex Corporation, due to its diversified revenue streams, proven profitability, and fortress-like balance sheet.

    Onex's long-term past performance is a key strength. It has a multi-decade history of compounding its capital at attractive rates, with a 10-year book value per share CAGR of ~10%. Its TSR over the long run has been strong, though it can be cyclical with private equity markets. STCK lacks any comparable long-term track record. In terms of risk, Onex's diversified platform across multiple funds, industries, and geographies makes it inherently less risky than STCK's concentrated, small portfolio. Onex has successfully navigated multiple economic crises, demonstrating its resilience. Winner: Onex Corporation, based on its extensive and successful long-term track record of value creation.

    Regarding future growth, both have distinct drivers. Onex's growth is driven by raising new, larger funds, expanding into new strategies (like credit and insurance), and generating performance fees from its ~$34 billion of fee-generating AUM. STCK's growth is entirely dependent on deploying its small pool of capital into new investments to grow its NAV. Onex has a significant edge in its pipeline and ability to execute large transactions. While STCK has higher percentage growth potential, Onex has more predictable, diversified, and scalable growth levers. Onex's move towards growing its fee-related earnings provides a stable base that STCK lacks. Winner: Onex Corporation, for its multiple, scalable avenues for future growth.

    In terms of valuation, Onex has historically traded at a significant NAV premium/discount, often a ~20-30% discount to its reported NAV or book value per share. This reflects the conglomerate structure and the market's skepticism about the timing of realizing private equity gains. Similarly, STCK trades at a large discount, but for different reasons: its unproven nature and small scale. Onex's P/E ratio can be volatile due to investment gains, but on a Price/Book basis (~0.8x), it appears inexpensive. The quality vs. price argument is key: both trade at discounts, but Onex's discount is on a portfolio of world-class, diversified assets with a proven management team. STCK's discount reflects significant execution risk. Winner: Onex Corporation, as its discount to NAV arguably presents better value given the far superior quality and diversification of its underlying assets.

    Winner: Onex Corporation over Stack Capital Group Inc. This is a clear victory for the established giant. Onex's key strengths are its global brand, immense scale with ~$51 billion in AUM, diversified business model across private equity and credit, and a multi-decade track record of creating shareholder value. Stack Capital's defining weaknesses in this comparison are its microscopic scale, lack of diversification, and an unproven track record, which collectively translate into much higher investment risk. While STCK may offer explosive growth if its concentrated bets pay off, Onex represents a far more resilient, proven, and high-quality way to gain exposure to the private equity asset class.

  • Ares Capital Corporation

    ARCC • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT

    Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is the largest publicly traded Business Development Company (BDC) in the United States, providing a strong international comparison for Stack Capital. While STCK is a Canadian company investing in a mix of private equity and growth assets, ARCC primarily focuses on providing debt and, to a lesser extent, equity capital to U.S. middle-market companies. The comparison pits STCK's growth-focused, equity-centric model against ARCC's income-focused, credit-centric model. ARCC's massive scale and focus on generating current income for dividends make it a benchmark for specialty finance.

    When evaluating their business and moat, ARCC's dominance is clear. Its brand, managed by Ares Management, is a leader in the private credit world, recognized for its rigorous underwriting and vast resources. STCK is virtually unknown in comparison. The scale differential is staggering: ARCC has a market cap of ~USD $12 billion and a portfolio of ~USD $23 billion, while STCK's market cap is below USD $50 million. This scale gives ARCC immense advantages in sourcing, financing, and diversifying its investments. ARCC benefits from powerful network effects through the broader Ares platform (~$400B+ AUM), which generates a massive, proprietary deal pipeline. Switching costs for borrowers are high for both, but ARCC's ability to offer a full suite of capital solutions makes it a more attractive long-term partner. Winner: Ares Capital Corporation, due to its unparalleled scale, brand leadership, and integrated platform advantages.

    A financial statement analysis reveals two vastly different machines. ARCC's business is designed to generate predictable Net Investment Income (NII), the BDC equivalent of earnings, from its massive loan portfolio. Its revenue (~$2.5 billion annually) is stable and growing, driven by interest income. STCK's income is far smaller and less predictable. ARCC maintains strong profitability, consistently earning a Return on Equity (ROE) that supports its dividend. STCK is not yet at a stage of stable profitability. ARCC manages its balance sheet prudently, with regulatory leverage limits for BDCs (2.0x debt/equity) and access to deep, investment-grade debt markets. This financial stability is a core strength. ARCC's entire purpose is cash generation to fund its high dividend. Winner: Ares Capital Corporation, for its predictable earnings, institutional-quality balance sheet, and robust cash flow engine.

    ARCC's past performance is a testament to its successful model. It has a stellar long-term track record of navigating economic cycles, including the 2008 financial crisis, while largely protecting its book value and delivering a consistent dividend. Its 10-year TSR has been strong and steady, driven by its high dividend yield. STCK's short and volatile performance history since 2021 offers no comparison. From a risk perspective, ARCC's portfolio is highly diversified across ~500 companies and multiple industries, drastically reducing concentration risk compared to STCK's small handful of investments. Credit losses (non-accruals) are a key risk for ARCC, but its historical loss rates have been very low (~0.1% annually). Winner: Ares Capital Corporation, for its proven, cycle-tested performance and superior risk management through diversification.

    Looking at future growth, ARCC's path is clear and steady. Its growth is driven by leveraging the Ares platform to find new lending opportunities, the secular trend of private credit taking share from banks, and its ability to raise capital efficiently. The demand for its capital from middle-market companies is robust. STCK's growth is less predictable and more dependent on hitting home runs with a few equity investments. ARCC's pipeline is a well-oiled machine. While STCK could theoretically grow its NAV faster on a percentage basis, ARCC's growth is more reliable and lower risk. Winner: Ares Capital Corporation, for its clear, achievable, and de-risked growth pathway.

    Valuation for BDCs is typically assessed by their price-to-NAV ratio and dividend yield. ARCC typically trades at a slight NAV premium/discount, often a small premium (~1.05x NAV), which reflects the market's confidence in its management and the quality of its portfolio. Its dividend yield is a cornerstone of its value proposition, typically in the ~9-10% range and fully covered by its NII. STCK trades at a large discount to NAV (>25%) due to its perceived risk. The quality vs. price trade-off is stark: investors pay a small premium for ARCC's best-in-class quality, stability, and high income stream. STCK's deep discount is a call option on unproven potential. Winner: Ares Capital Corporation, as its slight premium to NAV is justified by its superior quality and the certainty of its high dividend yield.

    Winner: Ares Capital Corporation over Stack Capital Group Inc. ARCC is the superior investment by virtually every measure, representing the gold standard in the publicly-traded specialty finance space. Its defining strengths are its massive scale, its highly diversified portfolio of income-producing loans, a best-in-class management platform, and a long history of delivering a high and stable dividend. STCK's weaknesses in this matchup are its extreme lack of scale, concentration risk, and unproven investment thesis. For an investor seeking reliable income and exposure to private markets with mitigated risk, ARCC is a world-class operator, while STCK remains a speculative, high-risk venture.

  • KKR & Co. Inc.

    KKR • NYSE MAIN MARKET

    Comparing Stack Capital to KKR & Co. Inc. is akin to comparing a local startup to a global technology titan. KKR is one of the world's largest and most renowned alternative asset managers, with a sprawling platform that includes private equity, credit, infrastructure, real estate, and more. STCK is a small Canadian firm focused on a single investment vehicle for retail investors. This comparison serves to highlight the institutional-grade operations, diversification, and scale that define the top tier of the asset management industry, a level to which STCK can only aspire.

    In terms of business and moat, KKR operates on another plane. The KKR brand is iconic in finance, synonymous with landmark leveraged buyouts and sophisticated investment strategies for nearly 50 years. STCK is a complete unknown on the global stage. The scale is almost incomparable: KKR has a market cap of ~USD $100 billion and manages nearly USD $580 billion in AUM. This scale creates a virtuous cycle, attracting the best talent and the largest, most exclusive investment opportunities. KKR's network effects are global and profound, connecting a portfolio of ~100+ companies, institutional clients, and industry experts. The regulatory barriers to operating at KKR's global scale are immense, creating a significant moat against new entrants. Winner: KKR & Co. Inc., in one of the most decisive victories imaginable.

    The financial statements of the two companies tell a story of different universes. KKR's revenue streams are vast and diversified, including stable management fees (~$3 billion annually), transaction fees, and the potential for enormous performance fees (carried interest) that can run into the billions. This contrasts with STCK's sole reliance on income and appreciation from its small investment portfolio. KKR's profitability, measured by metrics like Fee-Related Earnings (FRE), is robust, predictable, and growing. Its balance sheet holds billions in its own investments and cash, providing immense financial strength and the ability to co-invest alongside its funds. KKR is a cash-generating goliath. Winner: KKR & Co. Inc., for its financial scale, diversification, and profitability.

    KKR's past performance is legendary. It has a decades-long history of delivering top-tier returns for its fund investors, which has translated into strong growth in its book value and stock price. Its 5-year TSR has been exceptional, often exceeding 20% annualized, driven by both asset growth and multiple expansion. STCK's brief and negative performance history offers no basis for a meaningful comparison. From a risk perspective, KKR's diversification across hundreds of investments, multiple asset classes, and global geographies makes it far more resilient to economic shocks than STCK's highly concentrated portfolio. Its long history is proof of its risk management prowess. Winner: KKR & Co. Inc., for its outstanding and lengthy track record of creating value.

    KKR's future growth prospects are multi-faceted and powerful. Key drivers include the secular growth of private markets, expansion into new areas like insurance and infrastructure, and scaling its presence in high-growth regions like Asia. Its fundraising pipeline is perpetual, with new, larger flagship funds being raised every few years. The firm has guided for significant growth in its fee-related earnings, providing a clear path to higher dividends and stock appreciation. STCK's growth is entirely dependent on the performance of a few small investments. Winner: KKR & Co. Inc., for its numerous, scalable, and highly visible growth drivers.

    Valuation is the only area where a debate could exist, though it's still skewed. KKR trades at a premium P/E ratio (~15-20x on distributable earnings), reflecting its best-in-class status and high growth expectations. Its dividend yield is modest (~1-2%) as it reinvests heavily for growth. STCK trades at a massive discount to NAV. The quality vs. price is the core issue: KKR is a high-priced asset, but its premium is arguably justified by its world-class quality and growth. STCK is 'cheap' for a reason – its risk profile is orders of magnitude higher. An investor is paying for certainty and quality with KKR, versus speculating on a turnaround at STCK. Winner: KKR & Co. Inc., as its premium valuation is backed by superior fundamentals, making it a better value on a quality-adjusted basis.

    Winner: KKR & Co. Inc. over Stack Capital Group Inc. The conclusion is self-evident. KKR is a global leader and a benchmark for excellence in the alternative asset management industry. Its overwhelming strengths include its iconic brand, unparalleled scale with ~$580 billion in AUM, a highly diversified and profitable business model, and a long history of phenomenal returns. Stack Capital, in this comparison, is a micro-cap entity with a high-risk, unproven model. Its weaknesses – lack of scale, concentration risk, and negative performance since inception – are starkly exposed next to an industry titan. KKR represents a proven, high-quality investment in the secular growth of private markets, while STCK is a speculative bet on a niche concept.

  • Partners Group Holding AG

    PGHN • SIX SWISS EXCHANGE

    Partners Group is a major Swiss-based global private markets investment manager, providing another top-tier international comparison for Stack Capital. Like KKR and Onex, Partners Group operates a large, diversified platform, investing on behalf of institutional clients across private equity, private credit, private real estate, and private infrastructure. Its focus on a global client base and a wide array of private market solutions contrasts sharply with STCK's narrow focus on a single vehicle for Canadian retail investors. This comparison highlights the operational sophistication and diversification benefits of a large, global asset manager.

    In the realm of business and moat, Partners Group is a powerhouse. Its brand is highly respected, particularly among institutional investors in Europe and Asia, built on a 25+ year history of strong performance. This provides a significant advantage in fundraising and deal sourcing over the nascent STCK. The scale is a massive differentiator, with Partners Group managing ~USD $147 billion in AUM and sporting a market capitalization of ~CHF 30 billion. This scale allows it to participate in large, complex transactions globally. Partners Group also benefits from strong network effects from its extensive portfolio and global institutional relationships. Winner: Partners Group, due to its global brand, institutional scale, and entrenched client relationships.

    Financially, Partners Group showcases the attractive economics of a scaled-up asset manager. Its revenue is primarily driven by management and performance fees, which are more stable and predictable than the investment-gain-dependent income of STCK. For 2023, revenues were ~CHF 1.9 billion. Its EBIT margin is exceptionally high, consistently in the ~60% range, reflecting the scalability of its model. STCK is not yet profitable. Partners Group's balance sheet is very strong, with a net cash position, giving it tremendous flexibility. Its business model is designed for high cash generation, allowing for significant dividend payments and reinvestment. Winner: Partners Group, for its superior profitability, revenue predictability, and fortress balance sheet.

    Partners Group has a long and impressive performance history. It has a consistent track record of raising successively larger funds and delivering top-quartile returns to its investors. This has translated into strong, long-term TSR for its shareholders, driven by both earnings growth and a generous dividend policy. Its revenue and AUM CAGR over the past decade has been in the double digits. STCK has no comparable track record. From a risk standpoint, Partners Group's diversification across thousands of underlying investments, four asset classes, and global geographies makes it inherently far less risky than STCK's concentrated portfolio. Winner: Partners Group, based on its long-term, consistent, and risk-managed performance.

    Future growth for Partners Group is driven by the continuing global allocation shift towards private markets. Its main drivers are expanding its bespoke client solutions, launching new thematic investment strategies (e.g., decarbonization), and growing its evergreen fund offerings, which provide a stable capital base. Its global fundraising pipeline is robust and diversified. While STCK could grow faster in percentage terms from its tiny base, Partners Group's growth is of a much higher quality and predictability, supported by billions in new commitments each year. Winner: Partners Group, for its clear and diversified pathways to continued strong growth.

    From a valuation standpoint, Partners Group has historically commanded a premium valuation, and for good reason. It trades at a high P/E ratio, often ~20-25x, which is at the upper end of the asset manager spectrum. This reflects its high margins, strong growth, and pristine balance sheet. Its dividend yield is substantial, typically ~3-4%, with a payout ratio of ~60% of profits. STCK, trading at a deep discount to NAV, is optically cheaper. However, the quality vs. price analysis is critical. Investors pay a premium for Partners Group's proven quality, high profitability, and consistent growth. STCK's discount reflects its high risk and unproven model. Winner: Partners Group, as its premium valuation is justified by its best-in-class financial metrics and growth outlook.

    Winner: Partners Group Holding AG over Stack Capital Group Inc. The verdict is unequivocally in favor of the global asset manager. Partners Group's key strengths are its highly profitable and scalable business model, a diversified platform with ~USD $147 billion in AUM, a strong global brand, and a consistent track record of growth and shareholder returns. Stack Capital's glaring weaknesses in this comparison are its lack of scale, unproven track record, and a business model that is entirely dependent on the performance of a few concentrated investments. Partners Group is a high-quality, institutional-grade investment for exposure to global private markets, whereas STCK remains a speculative micro-cap venture.

  • Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.

    BAM • TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE

    Brookfield Asset Management is one of the world's preeminent alternative asset managers and a Canadian success story, making it a crucial, albeit aspirational, benchmark for Stack Capital. Brookfield focuses on real assets—real estate, infrastructure, renewable power, and private equity—and operates on a massive global scale. The comparison is one of extreme scale and strategy difference: Brookfield is an institutional giant managing hundreds of billions of dollars, while STCK is a micro-cap firm targeting a niche retail audience. This analysis showcases the pinnacle of the asset management business model.

    When comparing business and moat, Brookfield is in the highest echelon. Its brand is globally recognized as a leader in real asset investing, built over 100+ years. This history and reputation give it unparalleled access to deals and capital. The scale is monumental, with ~USD $457 billion in fee-bearing capital and a market cap around CAD $20 billion for the asset manager entity (BAM). This scale provides massive economies of scale and the ability to undertake projects no other firm can. Brookfield benefits from immense network effects, with a global operating presence that provides proprietary information and deal flow. For an aspiring Canadian firm like STCK, Brookfield is the model of success. Winner: Brookfield Asset Management, by an overwhelming margin.

    The financial strength of Brookfield Asset Management is formidable. Its revenue is primarily composed of stable, recurring management fees from its long-term private funds, as well as the potential for massive performance fees (carried interest). Its Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) have shown consistent double-digit growth, a key metric showcasing the health of the core business. Its profitability and margins are strong and expanding. STCK's financial model is not comparable in scale, stability, or profitability. Brookfield's balance sheet is robust, and its ability to raise capital is second to none, with ~$100 billion raised in the last year alone. It is a cash-flow machine designed to reward shareholders. Winner: Brookfield Asset Management, for its high-quality, scalable, and predictable financial model.

    Brookfield's past performance is world-class. Over decades, it has compounded capital at high rates, leading to exceptional long-term TSR for its shareholders. The firm has a clear track record of successfully raising larger and larger flagship funds and deploying that capital effectively across economic cycles. STCK's short history pales in comparison. In terms of risk management, Brookfield's diversification across asset classes (infrastructure, renewables, etc.) and geographies, combined with its focus on long-term, contracted cash flows in its real asset strategies, makes its business model incredibly resilient. This contrasts with the high concentration risk inherent in STCK's portfolio. Winner: Brookfield Asset Management, for its long and distinguished history of superior, risk-adjusted returns.

    Future growth for Brookfield is anchored in several powerful secular trends. Key drivers include the global need for infrastructure investment, the transition to renewable energy, and the increasing allocation of institutional capital to alternative assets. The company has a clear path to doubling its fee-bearing capital within the next five years, which would drive significant growth in its earnings and dividends. Its fundraising pipeline is the largest in its history. While STCK has higher percentage growth potential, Brookfield's absolute growth prospects are massive and more certain. Winner: Brookfield Asset Management, for its alignment with powerful secular tailwinds and clear, credible growth plan.

    From a valuation perspective, Brookfield (BAM) trades at a premium multiple, typically ~20-25x its fee-related earnings, reflecting its best-in-class status and high-growth profile. Its dividend yield is modest but growing rapidly, funded by its stable fee revenue. STCK trades at a deep discount to NAV due to perceived risks. The quality vs. price dynamic is clear: investors pay a premium for Brookfield's unparalleled quality, growth, and stability. The discount on STCK shares reflects deep uncertainty. The premium on BAM stock is widely seen as justified given its growth trajectory and the quality of its franchise. Winner: Brookfield Asset Management, as its valuation is supported by superior fundamentals and a clear growth narrative.

    Winner: Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. over Stack Capital Group Inc. The verdict is indisputable. Brookfield is a global leader in alternative asset management with a near-impregnable moat built on scale, brand, and operational expertise. Its key strengths are its ~USD $457 billion in fee-generating capital, its diversification across essential real assets, its predictable and high-growth fee-related earnings, and a phenomenal long-term track record. Stack Capital is a speculative micro-cap with significant weaknesses in scale, diversification, and proven execution. For investors seeking high-quality exposure to alternative assets, Brookfield is a world-class blue-chip investment, while STCK is a high-risk venture.

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Detailed Analysis

Does Stack Capital Group Inc. Have a Strong Business Model and Competitive Moat?

1/5

Stack Capital's business model offers retail investors unique access to private growth companies through a permanent capital vehicle, which is its main structural strength. However, this potential is overshadowed by significant weaknesses, including a highly concentrated portfolio, a short and unproven track record, and a costly external management fee structure. The company currently lacks any meaningful competitive moat against larger, more established players in the specialty capital space. The investor takeaway is decidedly negative, as the business carries a very high degree of risk with little evidence of successful execution to date.

  • Underwriting Track Record

    Fail

    Having launched in 2021, the company has a very short and thus far negative track record, with no history of realized gains to prove its underwriting skill or risk management capabilities.

    Stack Capital completed its IPO in mid-2021, giving it a very limited operating history of less than three years. This period has been insufficient to establish any meaningful track record of successful underwriting, particularly since its investments are long-term and largely unrealized. An investor today has no evidence of management's ability to successfully select, manage, and exit private investments at a profit.

    Furthermore, the performance since inception has been weak. Both the company's stock price and its reported NAV per share have declined since its IPO, underperforming the broader market. While this has been a challenging period for growth-stage companies, it means the early results are negative. Unlike competitors like Onex or Brookfield, which have successfully navigated multiple economic cycles over decades, STCK has not yet proven its ability to control risk or generate returns. The lack of a positive track record makes an investment in the company an act of faith in a yet-unproven strategy.

  • Permanent Capital Advantage

    Pass

    As a publicly-traded investment company, Stack Capital's greatest strength is its permanent capital base, allowing it to be a patient, long-term investor in illiquid private assets without redemption risk.

    The company's structure as a closed-end investment corporation means its capital is permanent, or 'evergreen.' Unlike open-end funds or limited partnership private equity funds, it does not face redemption requests from investors, meaning it can never be forced to sell its illiquid holdings at inopportune times to meet payouts. This is a crucial and appropriate structure for a strategy focused on long-duration, private market investments. It allows management to wait for the optimal time to exit an investment to maximize value.

    This structural advantage provides significant funding stability for the existing asset base. However, this strength has a key limitation. Because STCK's stock often trades at a significant discount to its NAV (e.g., >25%), its ability to raise new capital by issuing shares is severely constrained. Doing so would be highly dilutive to existing shareholders, effectively capping its ability to grow through new equity raises until the market values the company more favorably. Despite this limitation, the stability of its current capital pool is a clear and fundamental positive.

  • Fee Structure Alignment

    Fail

    While insider ownership offers some alignment, the external management structure imposes a high `1.5%` management fee on assets, creating a significant performance drag for shareholders.

    Stack Capital is externally managed and pays a management fee of 1.5% of its Net Asset Value (NAV) and a performance fee of 15% over an 8% annualized hurdle rate. The 1.5% management fee is a direct headwind for shareholders, as it is charged regardless of whether the stock or NAV performance is positive or negative. This fee is relatively high and reduces the potential return for investors. For comparison, many internally managed peers have lower overall operating expense ratios, creating better alignment.

    While the performance fee with a hurdle rate does align manager and shareholder interests for outperformance, the base fee structure is a constant drag. Insider ownership provides some 'skin in the game,' which is a positive. However, the external fee structure is a notable weakness, especially when the company's stock trades at a steep discount to the very NAV on which the manager's fee is calculated. This creates a situation where the manager can earn substantial fees even while public market investors experience losses.

  • Portfolio Diversification

    Fail

    The portfolio is dangerously concentrated in a very small number of private companies, exposing investors to a high degree of single-name risk and potential for significant NAV volatility.

    Stack Capital's portfolio is characterized by extreme concentration. As of its latest filings, the company holds fewer than 15 investments, and its top positions represent a very large portion of the total portfolio value. For example, its top 5 investments can easily account for over 60% of its NAV. This is dramatically below the diversification standards of most established specialty capital providers. For instance, a BDC like Ares Capital holds nearly 500 portfolio companies, and even a more focused peer like Alaris has a much larger and more seasoned portfolio.

    This lack of diversification is a critical weakness. While a successful outcome in one of its large holdings could lead to outsized returns, the opposite is also true: a significant write-down or failure of just one or two key investments would have a devastating impact on the company's NAV per share. This concentration makes the investment outcome much more binary and speculative, fundamentally increasing the risk profile for shareholders.

  • Contracted Cash Flow Base

    Fail

    The company's focus on capital appreciation from growth equity investments means it lacks the predictable, contracted cash flows that provide earnings stability and support dividends.

    Stack Capital's strategy is to invest in the equity of growth companies, aiming for significant capital gains over the long term. This model is fundamentally different from specialty capital providers that structure deals with preferred equity, royalties, or debt to generate regular, predictable cash payments. As a result, STCK's revenue is inherently volatile and non-recurring, dependent on valuation mark-ups and eventual liquidity events like a sale or IPO of its portfolio companies. This approach offers no cash flow visibility or stability.

    Unlike a peer like Alaris, which receives contracted monthly or quarterly distributions from its partners, Stack's income is unrealized until an exit occurs. This lack of predictable cash flow makes it difficult to support a stable dividend and exposes investors to the boom-and-bust cycles of the venture capital market. The business model does not prioritize or generate contracted cash flows, which is a significant weakness from an income and stability perspective.

How Strong Are Stack Capital Group Inc.'s Financial Statements?

1/5

Stack Capital's financial health presents a stark contrast between its balance sheet and its operations. The company boasts an exceptionally strong, debt-free balance sheet with a massive cash and investments position of $192.43 million against minimal liabilities of $4.84 million. However, its income statement is highly volatile, and more critically, it has consistently generated negative cash flow from operations, with the latest quarter showing a burn of -$7.26 million. This unusual profile of high liquidity but poor operational cash generation makes the investment takeaway mixed, leaning towards cautious.

  • Leverage and Interest Cover

    Pass

    Stack Capital operates with virtually no debt on its balance sheet, making it exceptionally resilient to economic downturns and insulating it from risks related to rising interest rates.

    The company's leverage profile is a significant strength. As of Q3 2025, total liabilities stood at a mere $4.84 million compared to total shareholders' equity of $187.73 million. The balance sheet data does not show any long-term or interest-bearing debt, meaning metrics like Debt-to-Equity and Net Debt/EBITDA are effectively zero. This is an extremely conservative capital structure.

    This lack of leverage means the company is not exposed to interest rate volatility and does not have mandatory interest payments that could strain its earnings. For a firm dealing with potentially illiquid investments, this is a major advantage, as it eliminates the risk of financial distress from debt covenants or refinancing needs. This strong, unlevered balance sheet provides maximum financial flexibility.

  • Cash Flow and Coverage

    Fail

    The company has an extremely large cash balance, but it consistently fails to generate positive cash from its core operations, a major weakness that undermines its financial stability.

    Stack Capital's cash flow situation is concerning despite its large cash reserves. The company's operating cash flow has been consistently negative, reporting -$7.26 million in Q3 2025, -$4.56 million in Q2 2025, and -$26.32 million for the 2024 fiscal year. This indicates that the fundamental business operations are consuming cash rather than generating it. While its cash and short-term investments balance is very strong at $192.43 million, this appears to be sustained by financing activities, not operational success.

    Since the company does not currently pay a dividend, distribution coverage is not a relevant metric. However, the inability to produce positive operating cash flow is a critical flaw. A company cannot indefinitely rely on external financing to fund its operations. This negative trend raises serious questions about the sustainability of its business model and its ability to fund future investments or distributions from earned cash.

  • Operating Margin Discipline

    Fail

    Operating margins are extremely volatile, swinging from highly profitable to deeply negative, which suggests a lack of predictable revenue streams and weak operational discipline.

    The company's operating margin demonstrates extreme instability, making it difficult to assess its core profitability. In Q2 2025, the operating margin was a very strong 84.81%, but it plummeted to a deeply negative -242.63% in Q3 2025. This swing was driven by revenue collapsing from $35.51 million to just $0.32 million, while operating expenses remained relatively sticky, declining from $5.39 million to $1.1 million. This indicates the company has a fixed cost base that is not supported by a stable revenue source.

    Such volatility suggests that revenue is highly dependent on lumpy, unpredictable events like investment sales rather than recurring management or fee income. For a capital provider, a lack of scalable operations and cost control relative to revenue is a significant weakness. It points to a business model that is not yet mature or stable enough to provide consistent returns.

  • Realized vs Unrealized Earnings

    Fail

    The company's reported net income appears to be of low quality, heavily influenced by non-cash items and currency fluctuations, and is not supported by actual cash generation.

    There is a significant disconnect between Stack Capital's reported profits and its cash-generating ability. In Q3 2025, the company reported net income of $2.39 million, but this figure included a $3.16 million gain from currency exchange. Meanwhile, its operating income was negative -$0.78 million, and its cash flow from operations was also negative at -$7.26 million. This shows that the reported profit was not derived from core operations and did not translate into cash.

    The reliance on non-cash, unrealized, or non-operational items to generate net income is a major red flag regarding earnings quality. Investors should prioritize cash earnings, as they are a more reliable indicator of a company's health and its ability to fund operations and growth. The consistently negative cash from operations confirms that the earnings mix is skewed towards lower-quality sources.

  • NAV Transparency

    Fail

    The stock trades at a discount to its reported Net Asset Value (NAV), but a lack of disclosure on valuation methods and asset composition makes it difficult for investors to assess the quality of that NAV.

    Stack Capital's NAV per share (proxied by book value per share) was $14.18 as of Q3 2025. With a recent closing price of $12.46, the stock trades at a Price-to-NAV ratio of approximately 0.88, or a 12% discount. While a discount can suggest value, its significance is diminished by a lack of transparency. The provided data does not include crucial details such as the percentage of Level 3 assets (the hardest to value), the frequency of valuations, or the extent of third-party valuation coverage.

    For a specialty capital provider whose value is tied to a portfolio of non-traditional assets, this information is critical for investor confidence. Without it, investors cannot verify if the reported NAV is conservative or aggressive. The positive year-over-year growth in NAV per share from $12.19 is encouraging, but the underlying valuation quality remains an unknown risk.

How Has Stack Capital Group Inc. Performed Historically?

0/5

Stack Capital's past performance since its 2021 founding has been highly volatile and inconsistent. The company has reported net losses and negative operating cash flow in most years, with a significant profit in FY2024 being a recent exception rather than an established trend. Key metrics like return on equity have been erratic, swinging from -4.24% in 2023 to 14.07% in 2024. Compared to mature specialty capital providers, Stack Capital's track record is very weak, lacking the steady earnings and cash flow generation of its peers. The investor takeaway on its past performance is negative, reflecting a high-risk profile with no demonstrated history of sustained success.

  • AUM and Deployment Trend

    Fail

    While the company's asset base has grown since its 2021 IPO, this growth has not translated into consistent positive returns or sustainable cash flow, indicating poor performance from its deployed capital.

    Using total assets as a proxy for assets under management (AUM), Stack Capital's asset base grew from $103 million at the end of FY2021 to $132 million by the end of FY2024. This shows the company has been able to raise and deploy capital. However, the effectiveness of this deployment is highly questionable. The company's net income was negative for three of the last four years, and its operating cash flow has been consistently and significantly negative throughout this period. This suggests that the investments made are not yet generating the returns or cash needed to sustain the business. A growing asset base is only a positive sign if it leads to profitable growth, which has not been the case for Stack Capital.

  • Revenue and EPS History

    Fail

    The company's revenue and earnings history is defined by extreme volatility, including negative results, which shows a lack of predictable performance rather than consistent growth.

    Over the past four fiscal years, Stack Capital's top and bottom lines have been erratic, making it impossible to identify a positive growth trend. Revenue fluctuated wildly, from $1.52 million in FY2021 to a loss of -$1.12 million in FY2022, and then a gain of $11.6 million in FY2024. Net income followed a similar pattern, with losses in FY2021, FY2022, and FY2023, before posting a $15.99 million profit in FY2024. This pattern is not indicative of growth but rather reflects the unpredictable mark-to-market nature of its investment portfolio. For investors, this history provides no confidence in the company's ability to generate stable and growing earnings.

  • TSR and Drawdowns

    Fail

    The stock has performed poorly since its 2021 IPO, delivering negative total returns and reflecting significant investor skepticism about its business model and execution.

    While specific total shareholder return (TSR) figures are not provided, qualitative data from competitor comparisons consistently notes that STCK's stock has delivered negative returns since its public debut in 2021. The market capitalization data supports this, showing a -34.66% decline in FY2022. Furthermore, the stock's persistent trading at a significant discount to its net asset value (NAV) is a clear indicator of poor market perception and a lack of investor confidence in management's ability to create value. Compared to established peers, many of which have generated long-term positive returns, Stack Capital's stock performance has been a clear disappointment for early investors.

  • Return on Equity Trend

    Fail

    Return on equity has been extremely volatile and negative in most recent years, failing to demonstrate any consistent ability to generate profits for shareholders.

    Stack Capital's ability to generate profits from its equity base has been poor and unreliable. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) was negative in FY2022 (-0.83%) and FY2023 (-4.24%). Although ROE was positive at 14.07% in FY2024, this appears to be an outlier driven by investment gains rather than a sustainable trend. A single year of positive performance does not make up for a multi-year history of losses. This track record is far inferior to established peers like Alaris, which consistently generates ROE in the 10-15% range. The historical inability to consistently produce positive returns for shareholders is a major red flag.

  • Dividend and Buyback History

    Fail

    The company has no history of paying dividends and its share count has risen since its IPO, meaning investors have not received cash returns and have instead been diluted.

    Stack Capital has not paid any dividends to shareholders since its inception, which is a significant drawback for investors seeking income. Compounding this issue, the company's total common shares outstanding have increased from 9.09 million in FY2021 to 10.7 million in FY2024. This increase represents shareholder dilution, meaning each share owns a smaller piece of the company. While the cash flow statement shows minor share repurchases in FY2023 (-$1.31 million) and FY2024 (-$0.42 million), these were insufficient to counteract the overall dilution. This capital allocation history is unfavorable for shareholders.

What Are Stack Capital Group Inc.'s Future Growth Prospects?

0/5

Stack Capital's future growth prospects are highly speculative and carry significant risk. The company's growth hinges entirely on its ability to successfully deploy its small pool of capital into a concentrated portfolio of private companies, a strategy that remains unproven. While a successful investment exit could lead to substantial NAV growth, the company faces major headwinds from its lack of scale, limited access to capital, and an inability to compete with established giants like Alaris or Onex. Given the substantial execution risks and a poor stock performance since its IPO, the overall growth outlook is negative for most investors.

  • Contract Backlog Growth

    Fail

    As Stack Capital invests for capital appreciation rather than contracted cash flows, it has no backlog, resulting in highly uncertain and unpredictable future revenue.

    Unlike companies that own assets with long-term contracts, Stack Capital's model is based on private equity-style investing. Its goal is to grow its Net Asset Value (NAV) through the appreciation of its portfolio companies. Therefore, traditional metrics like Backlog ($) or Weighted Average Remaining Contract Term are not applicable. The company's future performance is entirely dependent on the valuation changes and eventual sale of its stakes in a small number of private businesses, such as its significant holding in Omio, a travel booking platform. This makes future cash flows and returns extremely difficult to predict and highly volatile, standing in stark contrast to peers like Alaris, which receive regular distributions from their portfolio partners. The lack of contractual, recurring revenue is a major weakness that contributes to the stock's high risk profile and deep discount to NAV.

  • Funding Cost and Spread

    Fail

    The company's 'yield' is based on uncertain capital gains, not predictable interest income, and its small size likely results in a higher cost of capital, creating an unfavorable and speculative risk-reward profile.

    For Stack Capital, the spread between asset yield and funding cost is not a straightforward calculation. Its 'yield' is the eventual capital appreciation of its private equity investments, which is unpredictable and can take years to realize. On the funding side, its cost of debt is likely higher than that of larger, investment-grade peers due to its small scale and unproven track record. This combination of uncertain, long-duration returns and a potentially high cost of capital creates a challenging financial model. Unlike a BDC like Ares Capital, which earns a predictable Net Interest Margin from a large portfolio of loans, STCK has no such recurring income stream to cover its operating costs and service debt. The future earnings outlook is therefore opaque and speculative.

  • Fundraising Momentum

    Fail

    As a single permanent capital vehicle trading far below its asset value, Stack Capital has no fundraising momentum and no practical ability to raise new capital, representing a critical roadblock to growth.

    Unlike global asset managers like KKR or Brookfield that constantly raise new, larger funds, Stack Capital operates as a single, publicly-listed investment company. Its only means of raising significant new capital would be to issue more shares. However, with its stock consistently trading at a discount to NAV of over 25%, any new share issuance would be highly dilutive to existing shareholders, effectively destroying value. This strategic dead-end means the company cannot meaningfully grow its capital base to pursue larger investments or diversify its portfolio. It is trapped by its small size and poor market perception, with no fundraising momentum or prospects for launching new vehicles. This inability to attract new capital is a fundamental weakness that severely caps its long-term growth potential.

  • Deployment Pipeline

    Fail

    While the company has some cash to invest, its small scale, unproven deal-sourcing capabilities, and limited access to capital severely constrain its deployment potential compared to peers.

    Stack Capital's growth is entirely contingent on deploying its available capital, or 'dry powder,' into new investments. As of its latest filings, the company holds a modest amount of cash and has access to a small credit facility. However, this is minuscule compared to the billions available to competitors like Ares Capital or Onex. STCK's ability to source high-quality, proprietary deals is unproven, and it must compete against these much larger, more established players. Because its stock trades at a significant discount to NAV, raising new equity capital is not a viable option, severely limiting its ability to scale. The lack of a visible, robust investment pipeline and the severe financial constraints mean near-term growth from new investments is likely to be limited and slow.

  • M&A and Asset Rotation

    Fail

    The company's entire strategy depends on buying and selling private company stakes, yet it has an extremely limited track record of successful exits, making its ability to generate future returns entirely unproven.

    Stack Capital's success hinges on its ability to execute on M&A (making new investments) and asset rotation (selling existing investments at a profit). Since its inception in 2021, the company has made a handful of investments but has yet to establish a track record of profitable exits. The value of its current portfolio is based on internal or third-party valuations of illiquid assets, which may not be realized upon an actual sale. Without a history of successful Asset Sales or data on the Target IRR on New Investments, investors are asked to trust a management team with an unproven strategy in a highly competitive market. This profound lack of evidence that the company can successfully recycle its capital makes any projection of future growth purely speculative.

Is Stack Capital Group Inc. Fairly Valued?

2/5

As of November 14, 2025, with a closing price of $12.46, Stack Capital Group Inc. (STCK) appears undervalued. The primary driver for this assessment is the significant discount of its stock price to its book value per share of $14.18. Key valuation metrics supporting this view include a low trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 3.54 and a Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.88, which is favorable compared to the broader Canadian market. The overall takeaway for investors is positive, pointing to a potential value opportunity, though the unusually high forward P/E ratio warrants caution and further investigation into future earnings projections.

  • NAV/Book Discount Check

    Pass

    The stock trades at a meaningful discount to its Net Asset Value, with a Price-to-Book ratio of 0.88.

    For an investment firm like Stack Capital, the book value (or Net Asset Value) is a primary indicator of its intrinsic worth. The company's book value per share as of September 30, 2025, was $14.18. With the market price at $12.46, the stock trades for only 88% of its book value. This discount provides a margin of safety for investors, as it implies the market is valuing the company's assets at less than their stated financial value. This is a classic sign of potential undervaluation, especially when the underlying assets are primarily liquid investments.

  • Earnings Multiple Check

    Pass

    The stock's trailing P/E ratio of 3.54 is very low, suggesting it is cheap based on its recent earnings compared to the broader market and its industry peers.

    STCK's trailing P/E ratio of 3.54 is significantly lower than the Canadian market average of approximately 16.4x and the Capital Markets industry average of 9.7x. This indicates that, based on its past year of profitability, the stock is undervalued. However, this is countered by a very high forward P/E of 65.58, which suggests earnings are expected to decrease significantly. While the historical multiple is attractive, the forward-looking multiple introduces a level of risk. The factor passes, albeit with this notable caution, because the current valuation based on reported TTM earnings is definitively low.

  • Yield and Growth Support

    Fail

    The company currently pays no dividend, offering no immediate cash return to shareholders from yield.

    A strong valuation case often includes a sustainable dividend, which provides a direct return to investors. Stack Capital Group does not currently pay a dividend, and therefore has no dividend yield or payout ratio to analyze. While earnings growth has been volatile, with a significant jump in Q2 2025 followed by a decline in Q3, this has not translated into a policy of distributing cash to shareholders. Without any dividend or distributable earnings data, the company fails to provide the yield-based valuation support that is often attractive to investors in this sector.

  • Price to Distributable Earnings

    Fail

    There is no reported data on distributable earnings, making it impossible to assess the company's valuation on this key metric for specialty capital providers.

    Distributable earnings are a crucial non-GAAP metric for specialty finance and asset management companies, as it reflects the cash available to be paid out to shareholders. Stack Capital does not provide a figure for distributable earnings per share. While the trailing GAAP EPS is high ($3.52), leading to a low P/E ratio, it is not a direct substitute. Without the ability to analyze the price relative to distributable cash flow, a core valuation method for this sub-industry cannot be applied, representing a failure in data transparency and analytical depth for this specific factor.

Detailed Future Risks

The primary risk facing Stack Capital stems from macroeconomic shifts, particularly higher interest rates and the potential for a slowing economy. The era of cheap capital that fueled massive valuations in private markets has ended. In a higher-rate environment, investors demand better returns, which puts downward pressure on the valuations of the high-growth, often unprofitable, tech companies in Stack's portfolio. An economic downturn would further hurt these companies by slowing their revenue growth, making it harder for them to achieve the milestones needed for a successful IPO or sale. This new economic reality means the path to profitability for Stack’s investments is longer and more uncertain than it was just a few years ago.

The entire business model is built on successfully exiting its investments, making it highly vulnerable to the health of capital markets. The market for Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) has been weak since 2022, and a robust recovery is not guaranteed. If the IPO window remains narrow, or if merger and acquisition (M&A) activity slows, Stack will be unable to sell its holdings and realize gains. This creates a major liquidity risk, trapping capital in private companies for extended periods and delaying returns for shareholders. This dependency on external market conditions, which are outside of management's control, is a structural risk for investors.

From a company-specific standpoint, Stack Capital continually faces valuation and concentration risks. The value of its private holdings is not determined by daily market prices but by periodic internal and third-party assessments, which can be subjective. If a major holding, such as Varo Bank or Hopper, were to face financial trouble or a significant valuation cut (a 'down round'), it could disproportionately damage Stack's Net Asset Value (NAV). Additionally, like many investment holding companies, Stack's shares have often traded at a significant discount to its reported NAV. This means that even if the underlying portfolio performs well, shareholders may not see a corresponding increase in the stock price if the market continues to apply a steep discount.

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Current Price
16.50
52 Week Range
9.00 - 16.90
Market Cap
216.22M
EPS (Diluted TTM)
3.52
P/E Ratio
4.66
Forward P/E
86.32
Avg Volume (3M)
48,731
Day Volume
32,749
Total Revenue (TTM)
42.57M
Net Income (TTM)
38.38M
Annual Dividend
--
Dividend Yield
--