Noor

I am academically grounded in economics and naturally think in terms of incentives, cycles, and strategic behavior. When evaluating a company, I begin by identifying the structural forces shaping demand over the coming years, the constraints and advantages created by industry structure, and the mechanisms through which a business earns durable returns across cycles. I am particularly drawn to chemicals and agricultural inputs businesses, which underpin industrial, consumer, and food systems and sit at the intersection of long-duration demand, feedstock and capacity cycles, energy transition, and regulatory change making them a practical domain for applying macroeconomic thinking to equity selection.

My research process integrates both top down and bottom-up analysis. I start with macroeconomic and sector context, then narrow the focus to companies exhibiting strong operating discipline, resilient balance sheets, and a credible ability to defend margins. I closely examine cash-flow quality, capital allocation decisions, and whether current valuations reflect realistic expectations. I am especially interested in asymmetric setups where downside risks are well understood and upside potential is supported by identifiable catalysts such as capacity expansions or shutdowns, pricing regime shifts, regulatory developments, innovation pipelines, or multi-year agricultural and industrial investment cycles.

I use KoalaGains as a structured research workspace to maintain consistency across analyses and to document how assumptions evolve over time. I treat tool generated outputs as inputs rather than conclusions, relying on independent judgment to determine what is most material to the investment thesis. My objective is to construct a portfolio aligned with long-term structural trends in chemicals and agriculture, while remaining disciplined on entry points, risk management, and responsiveness to changing data.